Showing posts with label Dah Hui Lau (David). Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dah Hui Lau (David). Show all posts

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Dell: A Fallen Angel

At the current share price of $7.99, Dell is trading at 5X after-tax operating income!

If you are interested in reading my 2-page write-up on Dell, please send me an email.

Happy bargain hunting,
David

Monday, July 21, 2008

Lollapalooza Investing: My New Blog

I have launched a new blog: Lollapalooza Investing, which I will use as a platform to share stock ideas. I have just posted my first write-up: A.H. Belo (AHC).

Please visit: Lollapalooza Investing

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

My photos: Berkshire AGM 2008

Below is the link to my uploaded photos at the Berkshire Hathaway 2008 AGM.


Tuesday, October 02, 2007

Pabrai's Annual Meeting at Chicago Sept 2007

These are some of the things that Mohnish Pabrai said during his annual meeting.

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Pabrai was asked about possibility of investing in commodities, such as gold.

He responded by quoting Buffett, saying, "If Martian were to to observe the activity of human beings for many many years, they would not understand what these humans were doing. They are digging the gold out from the ground, proccess them and put them in the vaults and never touch them again."

He only wants to invest in companies with businesses that Martian could understand.

Another question was what he thought about relationship between volatility of the market to stock market valuation.

His response was.... "You have asked the wrong person, you should ask Chicago Business School." What a great response. Plenty of applause from the crowd.

Understanding his investment in Ipsco.

When he invested in Ipsco, 1/3 of its market cap was cash. It was selling at 2X free cash flow. It has high visibility of earnings for 2 years, but uncertainty after that. Mohnish's thinking was after 2 years of investment, the total amount of cash generated and those on the balance sheet would be equivalent to the total worth of the company at the time of investment. Thus, he would get the steel business for free.

Despite not knowing the intrinsic value of Ipsco at the time of purchase, it was a high uncertainty, but low risk bet. Ipsco was eventually bought out and he earned over 100% of return. Dhandho!

Understanding his investment in Lear Corp.

Duopoly business. The other automotive seat maker is Johnson Controls. High ROIC and has been growing revenue 13% per year for the last 10 years. Problems started in 2005 when commodity prices increased and they were unable to pass the costs to its clients. However, as contracts were running out, Lear could renegotiate its contracts and pass the price increases to clients.

Mohnish sold his position when Icahn offered to buy out Lear. As the deal fell through, Lear is still a listed company. Mohnish mentioned that he might be interested in buying Lear again if price falls below $25/share. So, keep an eye on Lear.

Would he ever hire an analyst?

No. Mohnish said that Buffett, despite managing billion of dollars, is basically one man business. The more brains get into investment, the worse the performance would be. He also quoted Munger for saying.."Nothing useful comes out of a committee."

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I was very grateful to have the chance to ask Mohnish a few questions that are relevant to me.

One of the questions was... prior to setting up his fund, has he thought of working for anyone else besides Buffett?

His answer was no. Buffett is the best. He has not thought of working for anyone besides Buffett.

As I don't have any business background and is a self-taught value investor, I asked him what he thought of CFA?

He told me I can skip the CFA. :)

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All the above are recollection from my memory, so they might not be the exact words of Mohnish.

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If you are interested in seeing some of the photos I have taken at Mohnish Pabrai's meeting, please visit: Mohnish Pabrai 2007 AGM at Chicago

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Essential Books for Investors

  1. The Essay of Warren Buffett by Lawrence Cunningham
  2. The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham
  3. The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life by Alice Schroeder
  4. Poor Charlie's Almanack by Peter Kaufman
  5. Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Philip Fisher
  6. The Little Book That Beats the Market by Joel Greenblatt
  7. You Can Be a Stock Market Genius by Joel Greenblatt
  8. The Little Book of Value Investing by Christopher Browne
  9. The Dhandho Investor by Mohnish Pabrai
  10. Mosaic: Perspectives on Investing by Mohnish Pabrai
  11. Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and Beyond by Bruce Greenwald
  12. Competition Demystified by Bruce Greenwald and Judd Kahn
  13. More Than You Know by Michael Mauboussin
  14. Fortune's Formula by Wiliam Poundstone
  15. Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb
  16. The Black Swan by Nassim Taleb
  17. Blink by Malcolm Gladwell
  18. The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine by Michael Lewis
  19. The Greatest Trade Ever by Gregory Zuckerman
  20. The Warren Buffett Way by Robert Hagstrom
  21. Beating the Street by Peter Lynch
  22. One up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch
  23. The Richest Man in Babylon by George Clason
  24. Warren Buffett Speaks by Janet Lowe

Friday, July 13, 2007

Black Swan: Nintendo Wii could top record-holding PS2

The success of Nintendo Wii is a "Black Swan" from my own perspective. I didn't expect that Wii could be so successful, out-selling both PS3 and XBox 360. Maybe some of you have expected that, but humbly, I have to admit that I didn't.

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Learning point:

Technology companies are subjected to extreme and fast changes and "Black Swan" events are happening all the time. However, they are very difficult to predict and the extent of the impact would be massive.

Therefore, it would be extremely but not impossible to value a fast-changing technology companies i.e. Nintendo, Sony, etc.

Warren Buffett likes stable and easily predictable companies i.e. Coca Cola as he could project 10 to 20 years out. Other great investors like Glenn Greenberg, Tom Russo, Li Lu, Bill Nygren, Whitney Tilson, Marty Whitman and others are among members of this camp.

For ordinary investors, it is better to stick to "one-foot hurdle" than "10-foot-hurdle". Great investors like Bill Miller and Eddie Lampert, who are successful in dealing with "10-foot-hurdle" problems, are rare.

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Sales of Nintendo's quirky Wii video game machine could top the legendary PlayStation 2, making it the biggest hit in the industry's history, Nintendo President Satoru Iwata said on Thursday.


Nintendo Co. Ltd. sped past Sony Corp. in market capitalization last month to become one of the 10 most valuable companies in Japan.

Full Article

Synergy: Victoria & David Beckham's Success

Victoria and David Beckham are extremely successful (fame, fortune and likeability) even when compared to other superstars.

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The important learning point for us is to appreciate the power of synergy. Victoria and David are successful by their own right, but their effects are amplified when combined, especially with their strong passion for success.

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Congratulations to you both! And, thank you for being a great example of the power of synergy.

All the best,

David

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Article about Beckhams arriving in LA: Full Article

Monday, June 11, 2007

My photos: Berkshire Hathaway AGM 2007

This was my first Berkshire Hathaway AGM and I have the privilege of meeting so many like-minded investors.

Thank you so much to Whitney Tilson so his generous sharings and teachings.

Also, I couldn't thank Fu Lu enough for his generous sharings and most importantly, without him, I couldn't have seen Warren Buffett's house. Unfortunately, it was so dark that I could hardly see his house in the photo. I must go back next year to get more pictures of his house!

http://picasaweb.google.com/dahhuilaudavid

Best,
David

Joel Greenblatt: Magic Formula Investing

Dear readers,

I hope most of you have read the Little Book That Beats the Market by Joel Greenblatt. If you haven't, please get a copy asap and read it a couple of times.

I have personally read it many times, and have come to conclusion that for most investors, Magic Formula Investing, which is only based on simple combination of earning yield and return on invested capital, is the best way to beat the market over the long run.

Thank you Joel Greenblatt for your generous sharing on MFI.

I truly agreed with Mike Price, who said that this book is one of the most important books ever written in the last 50 years.

Therefore, I would discontinue Lau Model Portfolio to track companies as investors are much much better off following the advice by Joel Greenblatt.

Best,
David

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

French Press: Le Figaro.fr

I was quoted in Le Figaro.fr, a French press, regarding my belief that the solid culture created by Warren Buffett will continue even after the death of its founder.

Please visit: Le Figaro.fr


For translated version:
Le Figaro.fr

Thursday, March 29, 2007

Footstar Inc (FTAR.OB)

I have posted my brief thesis on Footstar on Gurufocus and Seekingalpha websites.

Please email me with your comments.

Thank you,
Dah Hui Lau (David)

Thursday, February 08, 2007

Joe Koster's Blog

Dear readers,

Please visit Joe Koster's blog. You will learn a lot from this wonderful guy.

He has looked into BRK and CRYP and concluded that at present price, both are undervalued.

Like himself, I do own BRK and CRYP.

Best,
David

The Afterworld

I frequently received funny jokes from various friends. I decided to share them on this blog.

Here goes the first one.....

A middle aged woman had a heart attack and was taken to the hospital.While on the operating table she had a near death experience.

Seeing God She asked "Is my time up?" God said, "No,you have another 43 years, 2 months and 8 days to live."

Upon recovery, the woman decided to stay in the hospital and have a facelift, liposuction, and a tummy tuck. She even had someone come in and change her hair color. Since she had so much more time to live, she figured she might as well make the most of it.

After her last operation, she was released from the hospital. While crossing the street on her way home, she was killed by an ambulance.

Arriving in front of God, she demanded, "I thought you said I had another 40 years? Why didn't you pull me from out of the path of the ambulance?"

(You'll love this!!!)



God replied, “I couldn't recognize you."

Thank you Dr. Lim for sharing.

Tuesday, February 06, 2007

MGIC Investment to Acquire Radian in $4.9 Billion Stock Swap

To read the full article: WSJ.com.

I didn't see this coming!
David

Investment Management Certificate (IMC) exams

Dear readers,

I am very happy to announce that I have passed my IMC exams in Jan 2007! This is one of my new year resolutions and glad that I have achieved it in the first month of the year.

Best wishes,
David

Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Value Hedge Fund or Investment Fund in UK

Dear readers,

I would be grateful if you help me in my quest to work for Graham, Dodd & Buffett-styled hedge fund or investment fund in UK.

Do you know any well-regarded value funds in UK?

If you do, would you kindly share with me their names, websites or contacts.

My new year resolution is to get an analyst job for the right fund.

Please email me at: Dah Hui Lau

Thank you in advance,
David

Saturday, January 06, 2007

Timely Filing LetsValue

Very good website with collection of filings from great investors.

Please visit: LetsValue.

Happy New Year everyone!
David

Saturday, December 23, 2006

Merry Xmas and Happy New Year

Dear readers,

Merry Xmas and Happy New Year to all of you!

May year 2007 be a great year.

Best wishes,
David Lau

Triage & Investing

Triage article is a very good article about prioritising patients to treat.

It gives you an overview of how battlefield medicine works. This principle is also applied to emergency medicine. Imagine you were in accident and emergency department. If you were to suffer heart attack, you want to be treated straight away and not waiting for your queue. If you were to suffer minor cuts, you could wait to be treated.

Triage in fact is equivalent to time management. Do the really important stuffs first that can make an impact.

So how does triage apply to investing?

Warren Buffett said to be a great investor, you have to study all listed companies to find the hidden gems; starting from alphabet A to Z.

However, this may not be the most efficient way.

You have to apply "triage" principle to stock analysis too. You should screen for companies that are hitting 52 weeks low, and these are the companies to analyse first. The other effective way is to study the most recent filings of great investors, i.e Mohnish Pabrai. For example, recent filing showed that Mohnish Pabrai invested over 11.5% of CryptoLogic shares. As he is a great manager and with such a significant investment, it should be the top priority to analyse why he bought so much. If you study CryptoLogic now and think is it worth a lot more, you could buy the company now without paying excessively.

Happy investing,
David

Friday, December 22, 2006

How To Read The Bible #1

Err.. this is not about investment, but technique of reading the bible.

Charlie Munger said that multidisciplinary approach to investing is vital. And, I believe that the technique of reading bible could be applied to reading annual reports more efficiently.

This preacher said you don't have to read from page 1 to finish.

Bible consists of a collection of 66 literatures and one should read bible like reading short story book.

Likewise, to read annual report, you don't have to start from page 1. I always start from the balance sheet, income statement and cashflow statement, and then jumping to relevant notes first.

Having said that, Warren Buffett said good investor should at the end, read the whole annual report in order not to miss things out.

It is worth watching this short video clip of 6 mins: How to read the Bible.

Thank you Terence Tan for sharing,
David
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