Knowledge grows through sharing! To be the best, learn from the best! May all your dreams come true! Collections of Value Investing articles, interviews and videos, especially on Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger and articles from various disciplines to build "Latticework of Mental Models"
Saturday, May 27, 2006
Top 20 Questions From The 2006 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting
http://www.jvbruni.com/Berkshire2006annualmeeting.htm
Happy learning,
Dah Hui Lau (David)
dahhuilaudavid@gmail.com
Thursday, May 25, 2006
Sarbit Asset Management
According to Larry Sarbit, there are 4 pillars of successful business investing.
- Buy "wonderful" businesses.
- Paying a bargain price.
- Concentration: Own a few terrific companies.
- Have patience.
So, what is a "wonderful" business?
A "wonderful" business:
- A huge sustainable competitive advantage - a franchise.
- A growing stream of free cash flow.
- Simple, understandable.
- Stable - The basic business changes little over time.
- Predictable earnings.
- Consistent, repeated purchases of product or service.
- Not natural targets of regulations.
- Disaster proof - Most mistakes are forgiven.
- A royalty on the growth of others, requiring little capital itself.
- Good management.
To learn more of Larry Sarbit..... http://www.sarbit.com/welcome.php
Happy Investing,
Dah Hui Lau (David)
To visit my archive: http://dahhuilaudavid.blogspot.com/2005/11/archive-of-dah-hui-laus-blog.html
Thursday, May 18, 2006
Dell, An Excellent Company at Bargain Price
I'm going to do some simple calculation and discussion to explain why Dell is an excellent company at a bargain price.......
Step 1: FCF/EV yield vs. Treasury yield
Enterprise Value (EV) = $49.1B
Free Cash Flow (FCF) = $4.1B
FCF/EV yield = 8.35%
Treasury yield (30 years) = 5.30%
Dell looks like an excellent deal compared with treasury yield.
Step 2: Insider holdings
I have mentioned about superior return by investing in founder-CEO companies. Investing in companies that have significant insiders holding is one of the great ways to achieve superior return.
Michael Dell has holdings over 10% of the Dell. On top of that, he is still young and has great enthusiasm to expand Dell’s empire.
To read my previous comment on insiders holding, please visit: http://dahhuilaudavid.blogspot.com/2006/04/superior-stock-return-by-having.html
Step 3: Is Dell a good Company?
Profit Margin (ttm): 6.39%
Operating Margin (ttm): 7.96%
Return on Assets (ttm): 12.01%
Return on Equity (ttm): 67.31%
Dell has good Return on Assets.
Step 4: Does Dell management shareholders-orientated?
Dell has been buying its own shares aggressively; purchasing up to $6.2B, which is more than its income of $3.57B. Over the last 3 years, Dell has repurchased over $10B worth of shares, and with its current low price, I don’t see why Dell will stop repurchasing its shares even more furiously. Buying back shares is an important step to enrich shareholders, as long as it doesn’t restrict its financial ability to expand and improve its service.
Step 5: Do you understand its Business?
Dell was founded in 1984 by Michael Dell, the longest-tenured executive to lead a company in the computer industry. The company is based on a simple concept: by selling computer systems directly to customers, Dell could best understand their needs and efficiently provide the most effective computing solutions to meet those needs. This direct business model eliminates retailers that add unnecessary time and cost, or can diminish Dell's understanding of customer expectations. The direct model allows the company to build every system to order and offer customers powerful, richly-configured systems at competitive prices. Dell also introduces the latest relevant technology much more quickly than companies with slow-moving, indirect distribution channels, turning over inventory every four days on average. [From: Dell's website]
Step 6: Does Dell have a Moat?
Moat comes in different forms. As for Dell, its moat is being the lowest-cost producer of commodity, which is computer. Dell has done extremely well with its supply chain and direct model that it is hard to fathom an emergence of possible competitors.
Do you know how strong is its working capital management? Very, very strong. Dell has negative working capital! That’s right, it has a minus $4.6B of working capital. There aren’t many companies that have a negative working capital.
Step 7: Does any superinvestor invest in Dell?
Without doubt, there are famous superinvestors investing in Dell. Among them are Mason Hawkins (7.18% of assets), Bill Miller (0.87% of assets), and others. Mason Hawkins believes so strongly Dell is undervalued that he makes Dell its biggest holding.
Step 8: What are the potential risks in buying Dell?
“Our biggest worry is the competitive climate in the desktop PC market. Asian firms have often endured break-even margins to generate growth and could induce an irrational pricing environment in their quest for market share.” [From Morningstar report]
Conclusion:
Dell is a buy at current price of $25.20.
Warren Buffett said, “The most common cause of low prices is pessimism -- some times pervasive, some times specific to a company or industry. We want to do business in such an environment, not because we like pessimism but because we like the prices it produces. It's optimism that is the enemy of the rational buyer.”
Happy investing,
Dah Hui Lau (David)
dahhuilaudavid@gmail.com
To visit my archive: http://dahhuilaudavid.blogspot.com/2005/11/archive-of-dah-hui-laus-blog.html
Monday, May 15, 2006
Wesco Financial Annual Meeting, May 11, 2006
http://users.rcn.com/hpersson/WescoNotes2006.pdf
Happy learning,
Dah Hui Lau (David)
dahhuilaudavid@gmail.com
To visit my archive: http://dahhuilaudavid.blogspot.com/2005/11/archive-of-dah-hui-laus-blog.html
Saturday, May 13, 2006
Buffett's $15 Billion Tease May 13, 2006
I came across this interesting article from DealBook... talking about possible $15 billion deal by Warren Buffett.
...Warren Buffett, the billionaire investor who leads Berkshire Hathaway, stoked speculation about such a deal when he told shareholders on Saturday that he is working on a $15 billion acquisition, which, if it happens, would put a large chunk of his company’s $40 billion in cash holdings to work...
To read the complete article: Buffett's $15 Billion Tease
Happy investing,
Dah Hui Lau (David)
To visit my archive: http://dahhuilaudavid.blogspot.com/2005/11/archive-of-dah-hui-laus-blog.html
Berkshire Hathaway Annual General Meeting 2006 Notes May 13, 2006
http://users.rcn.com/hpersson/BRKA_Meeting_Notes-2006.pdf
Thank you, Shai.
Happy learning,
Dah Hui Lau (David)
dahhuilaudavid@gmail.com
To visit my archive: http://dahhuilaudavid.blogspot.com/2005/11/archive-of-dah-hui-laus-blog.html
Thursday, May 11, 2006
New Century, New Wealth May 11, 2006
....If you think life is violent now you should have tried living in Neolithic Britain. Our ancestors living 5,000 to 6,000 years ago had a one in 14 chance of being bashed over the head and seioursly injured. One in 50 was likely to be fatally wounded in the attack. The research was done by systematic survey of Neolithic British skulls by a team from Queen's University, Belfast, reported in New Scientist....
Be thankful! We are all alive and well.
All the best,
Dah Hui Lau (David)
dahhuilaudavid@gmail.com
To visit my archive: http://dahhuilaudavid.blogspot.com/2005/11/archive-of-dah-hui-laus-blog.html
Wednesday, May 10, 2006
Warren Buffett on Naked Short Selling
"Historically, a lot of stocks that have high short interest are later shown to be frauds or semi-frauds. I’ve had 100 ideas to be short, and have often been right—eventually, but long after I’ve covered, and the stocks have risen a lot. The people who run those companies tend to be good at keeping their stock prices up," said Warren Buffett.
"Being short stocks is a tough psychological game. I’d never put money in a short fund," said Warren Buffett.
Berkshire Hathaway Annual General Meeting May 6, 2006
Charlie Munger on Jeremy Siegel
"I think he’s demented. He tries to compare apples and elephants in making accurate projections," said Charlie Munger.
Berkshire Hathaway Annual General Meeting May 6, 2006
Charlie Munger on Newspaper Companies
Berkshire Hathaway Annual General Meeting May 6, 2006